Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Marseille |
| 35.1% | 27.12% | 37.77% |
| Both teams to score 50.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.08% | 54.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% | 76.2% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% | 29.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% | 65.84% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% | 28.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.16% | 63.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.1% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.77% |