Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lens |
| 32.97% | 25.96% | 41.07% |
| Both teams to score 53.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% | 50.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% | 72.41% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% | 28.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% | 64.82% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% | 24.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% | 58.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.97% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.07% |