Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 43.36% | 26.45% | 30.19% |
| Both teams to score 51.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% | 53.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% | 74.94% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% | 24.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.11% | 58.89% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% | 32.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% | 68.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.2% |