Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.35%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 9.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Metz |
| 74.35% | 16.22% | 9.42% |
| Both teams to score 46.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.88% | 40.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.75% | 9.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.73% | 31.27% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.28% | 48.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.25% | 83.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Metz |
| 2-0 @ 12.77% 1-0 @ 10.72% 3-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 7.29% 4-0 @ 6.03% 4-1 @ 4.34% 5-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.62% 5-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.62% Total : 74.34% | 1-1 @ 7.72% 0-0 @ 4.51% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.7% Total : 16.22% | 0-1 @ 3.24% 1-2 @ 2.77% 0-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.24% Total : 9.42% |