Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lyon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Lyon |
| 30.3% | 25.22% | 44.48% |
| Both teams to score 55.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% | 48.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% | 70.41% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% | 29.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% | 65.65% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% | 21.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% | 54.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.32% Total : 30.3% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.48% |