Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nice in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nice.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lens |
| 37.74% | 27.14% | 35.12% |
| Both teams to score 50.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.01% | 54.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% | 76.26% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% | 28.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% | 63.9% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% | 29.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% | 65.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 6.16% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.11% |