Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Jan 23, 2022 at 12pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 2
Nice

Kana-Biyik (45+1'), Salif Mbengue (55'), Ndiaga Yade (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thuram (58'), Gouiri (86' pen.)
Rosario (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Nice
23.15%	25.28%	51.57%

Both teams to score 49.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.61%

53.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08%

74.92%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88%

38.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.12%

74.88%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.29%

20.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.68%

53.32%

Score Analysis

Metz 23.15%

Nice 51.56%

Draw 25.27%

Metz	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 7.61% 2-1 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.46% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.15%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 12.42% 0-2 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 4.95% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.52% Total : 51.56%

How you voted: Metz vs Nice

Metz

7.9%

Draw

7.9%

Nice

84.2%