Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Nantes |
| 47.51% | 27.67% | 24.82% |
| Both teams to score 44.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.4% | 60.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.31% | 80.69% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% | 25.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.48% | 60.51% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% | 40.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.79% | 77.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 14.16% 2-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 8.69% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.06% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.29% Total : 24.82% |