Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
