Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Nantes |
| 40.5% | 27.66% | 31.84% |
| Both teams to score 48.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.52% | 57.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.72% | 78.28% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% | 27.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% | 63.42% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% | 33.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% | 69.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.83% |