Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 1, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Troyes2 - 0Lorient
We said: Troyes 1-1 Lorient
With the two teams devoid of confidence and struggling for form, we predict a cagey encounter on Wednesday and expect it to finish level. While the visitors' form is noticeably poor, they meet a Troyes side in a slump of their own, and Pelissier's side should, at least, be able to arrest their losing run. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Lorient |
| 49.58% | 26.07% | 24.34% |
| Both teams to score 48.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
