Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
36.16% | 26.45% | 37.4% |
Both teams to score 52.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.91% | 52.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.18% | 73.81% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% | 27.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% | 63.32% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.97% | 27.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.61% | 62.39% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.16% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |