Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Dec 4, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
1 - 1
PSG

Fofana (62')
Medina (47'), Gradit (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wijnaldum (90+1')
Verratti (63'), Hakimi (90')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48%. A win for Lens had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
28.91%	23.08%	48%

Both teams to score 61.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.69%

39.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.35%

61.65%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96%

26.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.92%

61.08%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33%

16.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.47%

46.53%

Score Analysis

Lens 28.91%

Paris Saint-Germain 48%

Draw 23.08%

Lens	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.04% 1-0 @ 5.84% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 28.91%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 9.37% 0-1 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 5.6% 0-3 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 3.77% 1-4 @ 2.51% 0-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.69% Other @ 4.3% Total : 48%