Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Lens |
| 40.07% | 26.81% | 33.12% |
| Both teams to score 51.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% | 53.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% | 75.41% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% | 26.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% | 61.58% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% | 30.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.19% | 66.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.12% |