Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.