Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.