Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 53.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Metz |
| 53.43% | 24.62% | 21.94% |
| Both teams to score 49.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% | 73.74% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% | 19.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.76% | 51.23% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% | 38.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.74% | 75.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% 2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.91% Total : 53.43% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.13% 1-2 @ 5.58% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.94% |