Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nantes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nantes |
| 27.34% | 27.06% | 45.59% |
| Both teams to score 47.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% | 57.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% | 77.93% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% | 36.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.76% | 73.23% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% | 24.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% | 59.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.63% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.87% Total : 27.34% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 12.62% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.59% |