Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 19.15% | 20.56% | 60.29% |
| Both teams to score 58.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.95% | 38.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.69% | 60.31% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% | 33.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.07% | 69.93% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.73% | 12.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.99% | 38.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.18% 1-0 @ 4.49% 2-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.15% | 1-1 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 6.92% 0-3 @ 6.29% 2-3 @ 3.8% 1-4 @ 3.63% 0-4 @ 3.3% 2-4 @ 1.99% 1-5 @ 1.52% 0-5 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.99% Total : 60.29% |