Champions League
Nov 24, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rodri 55' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 63' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 76' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 80' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 50'

Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 3, 2021 8.00pm
Man City 4 - 1 Brugge

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 3, 2021 8.00pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 2 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.03%) and 3-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result

Manchester City 49.82%
Draw 19.6%
Paris Saint-Germain 30.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

76.24%

Goals

Over 2.5 79.04%
Under 2.5 20.96%
Over 3.5 60.55%
Under 3.5 39.45%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 90.55%
Under 0.5 9.45%
Over 1.5 68.27%
Under 1.5 31.73%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 84.2%
Under 0.5 15.8%
Over 1.5 55.04%
Under 1.5 44.96%

Score analysis

Manchester City 49.82%
Draw 19.6%
Paris Saint-Germain 30.58%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 7.67%
3-1 @ 6.03%
3-2 @ 5.56%
2-0 @ 4.16%
4-1 @ 3.56%
1-0 @ 3.52%
4-2 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 3.27%
4-3 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.93%
5-1 @ 1.68%
5-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 5.6%
Total : 49.82%
Draw
2-2 @ 7.07%
1-1 @ 6.5%
3-3 @ 3.42%
0-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 19.6%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 5.99%
2-3 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 3.69%
0-1 @ 2.75%
0-2 @ 2.54%
2-4 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.7%
3-4 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 30.58%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 28, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Idrissa Gueye 8' goal
  • Lionel Messi 74' goal
  • Marco Verratti 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 24'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 39'
Champions League
May 4, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Riyad Mahrez 11' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 63' goal
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 72' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 22'
  • redcard Angel di Maria 69'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 71'
  • yellowcard Presnel Kimpembe 87'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 89'
Champions League
Apr 28, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Marquinhos 15' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 70' yellowcard
  • Neymar 74' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Gueye 77' redcard
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 31'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 64'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 71'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 86'
Champions League
Apr 12, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernandinho 72' yellowcard
  • Kevin de Bruyne 76' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Trapp 29'
  • yellowcard Javier Pastore 67'
  • yellowcard Gregory van der Wiel 68'
Champions League
Apr 6, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • David Luiz 1' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 41' goal
  • Blaise Matuidi 48' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 59' goal
  • yellowcard Gael Clichy 11'
  • yellowcard Fernando 35'
  • goal Kevin de Bruyne 38'
  • goal Fernandinho 72'
  • yellowcard Eliaquim Mangala 83'
  • yellowcard Jesus Navas 85'

Build-up

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