Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 83.96%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Everton had a probability of 5.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.03%) and 4-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.