Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 19, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Jan Breydelstadion

Brugge
1 - 5
Man City

Vanaken (81')
Mata (24'), Nsoki (45'), Balanta (65')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cancelo (30'), Mahrez (43' pen., 84'), Walker (53'), Palmer (67')
Laporte (32')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.33%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Club Brugge	Draw	Manchester City
24.03%	22.63%	53.33%

Both teams to score 58.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.65%

41.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.25%

63.75%

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.28%

30.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.03%

66.97%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.48%

15.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.56%

44.43%

Score Analysis

Club Brugge 24.03%

Manchester City 53.33%

Draw 22.63%

Club Brugge	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 6.19% 1-0 @ 5.63% 2-0 @ 3.32% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.89% Total : 24.03%	1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.63%	1-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 3.58% 1-4 @ 2.83% 0-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.69% Total : 53.33%