Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.04%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 5.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.82%) and 4-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Crystal Palace |
84.04% | 10.8% | 5.16% |
Both teams to score 44.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.08% | 29.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.88% | 51.12% |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.93% | 5.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.79% | 20.21% |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.26% | 52.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.52% | 86.48% |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Crystal Palace |
2-0 @ 11.9% 3-0 @ 11.82% 4-0 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 7.57% 4-1 @ 5.64% 5-0 @ 5.26% 5-1 @ 3.36% 6-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.81% 6-1 @ 1.67% 7-0 @ 1.11% 5-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.37% Total : 84.03% | 1-1 @ 5.11% 0-0 @ 2.68% 2-2 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.58% Total : 10.8% | 0-1 @ 1.71% 1-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 1.82% Total : 5.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |