Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.04%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 5.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.82%) and 4-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 84.04% | 10.8% | 5.16% |
| Both teams to score 44.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.08% | 29.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.88% | 51.12% |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.93% | 5.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.79% | 20.21% |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.26% | 52.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.52% | 86.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-0 @ 11.9% 3-0 @ 11.82% 4-0 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 7.57% 4-1 @ 5.64% 5-0 @ 5.26% 5-1 @ 3.36% 6-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.81% 6-1 @ 1.67% 7-0 @ 1.11% 5-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.37% Total : 84.03% | 1-1 @ 5.11% 0-0 @ 2.68% 2-2 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.58% Total : 10.8% | 0-1 @ 1.71% 1-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 1.82% Total : 5.16% |