Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Newcastle United |
36.6% | 29.67% | 33.73% |
Both teams to score 42.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.89% | 64.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.74% | 83.25% |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% | 33.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.88% | 70.11% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.57% | 35.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.81% | 72.18% |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 12.97% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.59% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.85% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.65% | 0-1 @ 12.3% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.09% Total : 33.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 64 |
2 | Liverpool | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 26 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 63 | 28 | 35 | 63 |
4 | Aston Villa | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 56 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 53 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 47 |
7 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 44 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 42 |
9 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 41 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 40 |
11 | Chelsea | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 39 |
12 | Fulham | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 38 |
13 | Bournemouth | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 35 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 29 |
15 | Brentford | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 26 |
16 | Everton | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 25 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 25 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 22 |
19 | Burnley | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 74 | -50 | 14 |
> Premier League Full Table |