Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 9

Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Newcastle

Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Newcastle United
36.6%	29.67%	33.73%

Both teams to score 42.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.89%

64.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.74%

83.25%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51%

33.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88%

70.11%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.57%

35.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.81%

72.18%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 36.59%

Newcastle United 33.72%

Draw 29.65%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 12.97% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.59%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.85% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.65%	0-1 @ 12.3% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.09% Total : 33.72%