Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2021 at 8pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 1
Leeds

Saint-Maximin (44')
Ritchie (8'), Almiron (39')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Raphinha (13')
Rodrigo (57'), Firpo (80')

Reaction

Newcastle United's Allan Saint-Maximin celebrates scoring their first goal against Leeds United in the Premier League on September 17, 2021

Allan Saint-Maximin disappointed at 'two points dropped' against Leeds United

Newcastle United winger Allan Saint-Maximin speaks on his disappointment at their 1-1 draw with Leeds United on Friday.

Sep 18, 18:23

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce on August 28, 2021

Defiant Steve Bruce vows to fight on as Newcastle fans call for him to quit

Allan Saint-Maximin's brilliant equaliser rescued a point for the Magpies from a 1-1 home draw with Leeds.

Sep 17, 22:11

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Leeds United
31.88%	26.08%	42.04%

Both teams to score 53.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71%

51.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88%

73.12%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.94%

30.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.81%

66.19%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83%

24.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.51%

58.49%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 31.88%

Leeds United 42.04%

Draw 26.08%

Newcastle United	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.73% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 2.1% Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.88%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.74% Total : 42.04%