Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
33.18% | 26.01% | 40.8% |
Both teams to score 53.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.33% | 50.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.42% | 72.57% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% | 28.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% | 64.77% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.48% | 24.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.01% | 58.99% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.18% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 75 | 32 | 43 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 36 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 16 |
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