Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
| 33.18% | 26.01% | 40.8% |
| Both teams to score 53.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% | 50.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% | 72.57% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% | 64.77% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% | 24.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% | 58.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.18% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.8% |