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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Southampton logo

Newcastle
2 - 2
Southampton

Wilson (55'), Saint-Maximin (90')
Schar (40'), Lascelles (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Elyounoussi (74'), Ward-Prowse (90+6' pen.)
Walker-Peters (30'), Djenepo (56'), Ward-Prowse (79')

The Match

Match Report

Allan Saint-Maximin thought he had won it for the Magpies.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
33.18%26.01%40.8%
Both teams to score 53.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.33%50.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42%72.57%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1%28.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23%64.77%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48%24.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01%58.99%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 33.18%
    Southampton 40.8%
    Draw 26.01%
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.8%
2-1 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 5.46%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.18%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7%
1-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40.8%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Southampton

Newcastle United
40.7%
Draw
26.1%
Southampton
33.2%
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