Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2021 at 4pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
3 - 0
Southampton

Fornals (30', 33'), Rice (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bednarek (48'), Diallo (67'), Salisu (73')

Reaction

West Ham United manager David Moyes on May 9, 2021

David Moyes delighted to lead West Ham United to Europa League finish

West Ham finished in style with a 3-0 home defeat of Southampton.

May 23, 18:24

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Southampton
40.24%	24.66%	35.11%

Both teams to score 58.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.75%

44.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.37%

66.63%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.02%

21.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.72%

55.28%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34%

24.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.82%

59.18%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 40.24%

Southampton 35.11%

Draw 24.65%

West Ham United	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.24%	1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65%	1-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.11%