Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 24, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
0 - 1
Chelsea

FT(HT: 0-1)

Werner (43')
Werner (35'), Christensen (42'), Mendy (90+3'), Kante (90+5')

Reaction

West Ham United's Fabian Balbuena pictured on January 23, 2021

West Ham to appeal Fabian Balbuena red card in Chelsea loss

Fabian Balbuena was sent off by referee Chris Kavanagh after he caught Blues full-back Ben Chilwell with his studs as he cleared the ball upfield.

Apr 26, 11:07

Tomas Soucek celebrates scoring for West Ham United against Crystal Palace in the Premier League on January 26, 2021

Tomas Soucek: 'We will continue to battle for top four'

The injury-hit Hammers lost back-to-back Premier League matches for only the second time this season due to Timo Werner's first-half strike.

Apr 25, 11:35

West Ham United manager David Moyes pictured on February 27, 2021

David Moyes labels Fabian Balbuena sending off "rank, rotten decision"

Paraguayan defender Fabian Balbuena was shown one of the most ludicrous red cards of the season nine minutes before the end.

Apr 24, 20:43

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Chelsea
17.6%	21.58%	60.82%

Both teams to score 52.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.79%

45.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.45%

67.55%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.75%

39.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.04%

75.95%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.6%

14.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.71%

42.29%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 17.6%

Chelsea 60.8%

Draw 21.58%

West Ham United	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 5.28% 2-1 @ 4.79% 2-0 @ 2.47% 3-1 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.6%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.65% 2-2 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.58%	0-1 @ 10.94% 0-2 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 6.41% 0-4 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 3% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.29% 1-5 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.67% Total : 60.8%