Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Apr 10, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 4
Chelsea

Benteke (63')
Kouyate (29')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Havertz (8'), Pulisic (10', 78'), Zouma (30')

Reaction

Chelsea's Kai Havertz in action in October 2020

Thomas Tuchel explains quality of Kai Havertz

The summer signing provided a glimpse of his potential with a superb display at Selhurst Park.

Apr 11, 22:28

Christian Pulisic in action for Chelsea on February 11, 2021

Christian Pulisic delighted with two-goal showing

The American took his club tally for the season to five goals with a double at Selhurst Park.

Apr 11, 09:57

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel pictured on March 4, 2021

Thomas Tuchel lavishes praise on Kai Havertz after Palace win

The former Bayer Leverkusen attacker bounced back from a poor display against Porto in midweek with a goal and an assist against Crystal Palace.

Apr 10, 20:15

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.12%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Chelsea
14.13%	22.17%	63.71%

Both teams to score 42.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.41%

53.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.9%

75.09%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.06%

48.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.09%

83.91%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73%

16.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.2%

45.8%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 14.13%

Chelsea 63.69%

Draw 22.17%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 5.69% 2-1 @ 3.69% 2-0 @ 2.03% Other @ 2.72% Total : 14.13%	1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.17%	0-1 @ 14.45% 0-2 @ 13.12% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-3 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 5.68% 0-4 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-5 @ 1.31% 1-5 @ 0.94% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.73% Total : 63.69%