Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

Apr 17, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
3 - 2
West Ham

Diop (36' og.), Joelinton (41'), Willock (82')
Shelvey (16'), Murphy (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Diop (73'), Lingard (80' pen.)
Dawson (12')
Dawson (36')

Reaction

Newcastle United's Joe Willock pictured with manager Steve Bruce on February 6, 2021

Joe Willock: 'We can complete survival mission'

The Magpies went nine points clear of the drop zone as a result.

Apr 18, 08:23

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured on March 7, 2021

Steve Bruce not "jumping and hollering" after dramatic West Ham win

The Magpies sit nine points clear of the drop zone with six games to play.

Apr 17, 15:14

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	West Ham United
26.56%	25.65%	47.79%

Both teams to score 51.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87%

52.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15%

73.85%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57%

34.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.86%

71.14%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18%

21.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.97%

55.03%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 26.56%

West Ham United 47.79%

Draw 25.64%

Newcastle United	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 8.01% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.56%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 8.71% 1-3 @ 4.71% 0-3 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.79%