Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 29

Mar 20, 2021 at 8pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
3 - 0
Newcastle

Trossard (45+3'), Welbeck (51'), Maupay (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dummett (63')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Newcastle United
49.7%	26.3%	24%

Both teams to score 47.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.54%

56.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.54%

77.46%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22%

22.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.51%

56.49%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.95%

39.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.23%

75.77%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 49.7%

Newcastle United 24%

Draw 26.3%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 13.15% 2-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.7%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.47% Total : 24%