Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Apr 11, 2021 at 12pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 2
Newcastle

Vydra (18')
Brownhill (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Murphy (59'), Saint-Maximin (64')

Reaction

Newcastle United's Allan Saint-Maximin celebrates scoring against Burnley in the Premier League on April 11, 2021

Allan Saint-Maximin: 'Newcastle United can never go down'

Newcastle United attacker Allan Saint-Maximin insists that he will never let the club get relegated from the Premier League following Sunday's 2-1 win away to Burnley.

Apr 12, 18:34

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured in February 2021

Steve Bruce highlights Allan Saint-Maximin's importance

Sean Dyche's Burnley had 24 attempts at goal and Martin Dubravka was much busier than opposite number Bailey Peacock-Farrell.

Apr 11, 15:27

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Newcastle United
38.25%	28.74%	33%

Both teams to score 45.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.88%

61.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.92%

81.08%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09%

30.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8%

67.19%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66%

34.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96%

71.04%

Score Analysis

Burnley 38.25%

Newcastle United 33%

Draw 28.74%

Burnley	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.1% Total : 38.25%	1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.74%	0-1 @ 11.34% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.29% Total : 33%