Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Leicester City |
| 17.08% | 23.5% | 59.41% |
| Both teams to score 45.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% | 53.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% | 75.23% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.04% | 44.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.1% | 80.9% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.18% | 17.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.44% | 48.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 6.4% 2-1 @ 4.42% 2-0 @ 2.56% 3-1 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.51% Total : 17.08% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 13.81% 0-2 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 5.48% 0-4 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-5 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.35% Total : 59.4% |