Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 12, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Emil Krafth 52' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 68' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard John McGinn 74'
  • yellowcard Morgan Sanson 77'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 78'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 86'

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2021 12.00pm
West Brom 0 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
Aston Villa 0 - 0 Wolves
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 28.24%
Draw 25.15%
Aston Villa 46.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.06%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.94%
Under 2.5 49.07%
Over 3.5 28.86%
Under 3.5 71.15%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 68.5%
Under 0.5 31.5%
Over 1.5 32.11%
Under 1.5 67.89%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 78.93%
Under 0.5 21.08%
Over 1.5 46.11%
Under 1.5 53.9%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 28.24%
Draw 25.15%
Aston Villa 46.6%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 7.67%
2-1 @ 6.9%
2-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.15%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 9.3%
0-2 @ 8.05%
1-3 @ 4.83%
0-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.88%
0-4 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 46.6%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 11
Jan 23, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ollie Watkins 13' goal
  • Bertrand Traore 42' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 26'
  • yellowcard Andy Carroll 54'
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 57'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Jun 24, 2020 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Jamaal Lascelles 59' yellowcard
  • Dwight Gayle 68' goal
  • Federico Fernandez 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 45'+1'
  • goal Ahmed Elmohamady 83'
  • yellowcard Kortney Hause 90'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2019 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Conor Hourihane 32' goal
  • Anwar El Ghazi 36' goal
  • Wesley 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Fernandez 35'
Championship
Feb 20, 2017 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonjo Shelvey 34' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 37' yellowcard
  • Yoann Gouffran 42' goal
  • Henri Lansbury 59' goal
Championship
Sep 24, 2016 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • James Chester 42' yellowcard
  • Nathan Baker 44' yellowcard
  • Aaron Tshibola 89' goal
  • yellowcard Jonjo Shelvey 27'
  • goal Tommy Elphick 28' (OG)
Premier League
May 7, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ciaran Clark 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Dummett 96'

Build-up

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