Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Olivier Giroud 31' goal
  • Timo Werner 39' goal

Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2021 7.15pm
Sheff Utd 1 - 2 Chelsea
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Jorginho

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2021 3.00pm
Newcastle 3 - 2 Southampton
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 7.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.95%) and 1-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match.

Result

Chelsea 77.56%
Draw 14.63%
Newcastle United 7.81%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.05%

Goals

Over 2.5 61.89%
Under 2.5 38.11%
Over 3.5 39.62%
Under 3.5 60.38%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 91.97%
Under 0.5 8.03%
Over 1.5 71.71%
Under 1.5 28.29%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 48.98%
Under 0.5 51.02%
Over 1.5 14.65%
Under 1.5 85.35%

Score analysis

Chelsea 77.55%
Draw 14.63%
Newcastle United 7.81%
Chelsea
2-0 @ 13.03%
3-0 @ 10.95%
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 7.37%
4-0 @ 6.91%
4-1 @ 4.65%
5-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.48%
5-1 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.56%
6-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 77.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.96%
0-0 @ 4.1%
2-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 14.63%
Newcastle United
0-1 @ 2.76%
1-2 @ 2.34%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 7.81%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 9
Nov 21, 2020 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Isaac Hayden 39' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 45' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Fernandez 10' (OG)
  • goal Tammy Abraham 65'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Jan 18, 2020 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Isaac Hayden 55' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hayden 94' goal
  • yellowcard Emerson Palmieri 84'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcos Alonso 23' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 45' yellowcard
  • Marcos Alonso 73' goal
  • yellowcard Ciaran Clark 43'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 12, 2019 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Pedro 9' goal
  • Willian 57' goal
  • Jorginho 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 24'
  • goal Ciaran Clark 40'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2018 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fabian Schar 65' yellowcard
  • Federico Fernandez 68' yellowcard
  • Matt Ritchie 70' yellowcard
  • Joselu 83' goal
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 40'
  • goal Eden Hazard 76'
  • goal DeAndre Yedlin 87' (OG)
Premier League
May 13, 2018 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dwight Gayle 23' goal
  • Ayoze Perez 59' goal
  • Ayoze Perez 63' goal
  • yellowcard Tiemoue Bakayoko 65'

Build-up

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