Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 24

Feb 15, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 0
Newcastle

Giroud (31'), Werner (39')

FT(HT: 2-0)

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Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel pictured in February 2021

Thomas Tuchel slams "reckless" Jamaal Lascelles tackle on Abraham

The Chelsea boss was unable to offer an update on his striker's fitness.

Feb 15, 23:44

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 7.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.95%) and 1-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Newcastle United
77.56%	14.63%	7.81%

Both teams to score 45.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.89%

38.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.62%

60.38%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.97%

8.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.71%

28.29%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.98%

51.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.65%

85.35%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 77.55%

Newcastle United 7.81%

Draw 14.63%

Chelsea	Draw	Newcastle United
2-0 @ 13.03% 3-0 @ 10.95% 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 7.37% 4-0 @ 6.91% 4-1 @ 4.65% 5-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.48% 5-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-0 @ 1.46% 6-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.22% Total : 77.55%	1-1 @ 6.96% 0-0 @ 4.1% 2-2 @ 2.95% Other @ 0.62% Total : 14.63%	0-1 @ 2.76% 1-2 @ 2.34% 0-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.78% Total : 7.81%