Arsenal vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.