Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 16.08% | 21.54% | 62.37% |
| Both teams to score 48.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.36% | 47.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.16% | 69.84% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.42% | 42.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.06% | 78.93% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% | 14.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.12% | 42.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 5.34% 2-1 @ 4.37% 2-0 @ 2.28% 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.65% Total : 16.08% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.54% | 0-1 @ 12% 0-2 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 6.28% 0-4 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-5 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.29% 1-5 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.4% Total : 62.36% |