Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Dec 29, 2020 at 6pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
0 - 1
Arsenal

Dunk (59'), Jahanbakhsh (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lacazette (66')

Reaction

Rob Holding in action for Arsenal on December 16, 2020

Rob Holding: 'We must build on successive wins'

The Gunners lifted the FA Cup in August but have been unconvincing in the top flight.

Dec 30, 12:47

Bukayo Saka pictured celebrating after scoring for Arsenal on October 4, 2020

Mikel Arteta keen to take the pressure off Bukayo Saka

The 19-year-old has emerged as one of England's finest young talents.

Dec 30, 12:46

Alexandre Lacazette celebrates scoring for Arsenal against Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on December 29, 2020

Mikel Arteta delighted with "brilliant" Lacazette goal in Brighton win

The Frenchman scored the only goal at Brighton just 21 seconds after arriving on the pitch.

Dec 29, 21:07

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Arsenal
28.26%	26.29%	45.45%

Both teams to score 50.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.32%

53.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.83%

75.16%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09%

33.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42%

70.58%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45%

23.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.4%

57.6%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 28.26%

Arsenal 45.44%

Draw 26.28%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.26%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 8.35% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.44%