Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Southampton |
| 51.55% | 23.05% | 25.4% |
| Both teams to score 58.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.06% | 41.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.66% | 64.34% |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% | 16.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.03% | 45.96% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% | 29.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% | 66.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.38% Total : 51.55% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-1 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.12% Total : 25.4% |