Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 15

Dec 26, 2020 at 5.30pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
3 - 1
Chelsea

Lacazette (34' pen.), Xhaka (44'), Saka (56')
Mari (16'), Tierney (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Abraham (85')
Silva (73')

Reaction

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Dec 26, 21:00

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Chelsea
27.51%	23.73%	48.76%

Both teams to score 58.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.7%

43.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.31%

65.69%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.95%

29.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.04%

64.96%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.1%

17.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.31%

48.69%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 27.51%

Chelsea 48.76%

Draw 23.72%

Arsenal	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 6.83% 1-0 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 3.97% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.4% Total : 27.51%	1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 9.51% 0-1 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 7.7% 1-3 @ 5.46% 0-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 3.37% 1-4 @ 2.35% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.67% Total : 48.76%