Arsenal vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.