Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 14

Dec 19, 2020 at 5.30pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
2 - 1
Arsenal

Holding (22' og.), Mina (45')
Calvert-Lewin (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pepe (35' pen.)
Elneny (15'), Tierney (40'), Willock (90+1')

Reaction

Dominic Calvert-Lewin carries the match ball after scoring a hat-trick against West Ham United in the EFL Cup on September 30, 2020

Dominic Calvert-Lewin: 'I am learning how to be nasty'

The 2-1 victory over Arsenal made it three wins in a week.

Dec 20, 11:49

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta looks dejected during his side's Premier League defeat to Burnley on December 13, 2020

Mikel Arteta "very encouraged" by Arsenal players despite poor form

The Gunners have lost five times in that sequence.

Dec 19, 21:39

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Everton	Draw	Arsenal
33.01%	26.06%	40.93%

Both teams to score 53.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.09%

50.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.22%

72.78%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87%

29.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95%

65.05%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43%

24.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95%

59.05%

Score Analysis

Everton 33.01%

Arsenal 40.92%

Draw 26.05%

Everton	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.01%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.92%