Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 26, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ilkay Gundogan 14' goal
  • Rodri 34' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 55' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 64'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 80'

Manchester City vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2020 3.00pm
Southampton 0 - 1 Man City
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Ilkay Gundogan

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2020 8.00pm
Newcastle 1 - 1 Fulham
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 5.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 4-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 83.42%
Draw 11%
Newcastle United 5.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 71.35%
Under 2.5 28.65%
Over 3.5 50.43%
Under 3.5 49.57%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 95.05%
Under 0.5 4.95%
Over 1.5 80.17%
Under 1.5 19.83%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 49.76%
Under 0.5 50.24%
Over 1.5 15.17%
Under 1.5 84.83%

Score analysis

Manchester City 83.41%
Draw 11%
Newcastle United 5.59%
Manchester City
3-0 @ 11.26%
2-0 @ 11.24%
4-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 7.76%
2-1 @ 7.74%
1-0 @ 7.48%
4-1 @ 5.83%
5-0 @ 5.1%
5-1 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.67%
6-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 2.01%
6-1 @ 1.76%
5-2 @ 1.21%
7-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 83.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.15%
2-2 @ 2.66%
0-0 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 11%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 1.77%
0-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 5.59%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 34
Jul 8, 2020 6.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Gabriel Jesus 10' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 21' goal
  • Federico Fernandez 58' goal
  • David Silva 65' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 90'+1' goal
FA Cup
Jun 28, 2020 6.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andy Carroll 61' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 37'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 68'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2019 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jetro Willems 25' goal
  • Javi Manquillo 73' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 88' goal
  • goal Raheem Sterling 22'
  • yellowcard Ilkay Gundogan 24'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 53'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 82'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2019 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ayoze Perez 54' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 66' goal
  • Fabian Schar 72' yellowcard
  • Matt Ritchie 80' goal
  • goal Sergio Aguero 1'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 17'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 34'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 90'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2018 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Raheem Sterling 8' goal
  • Kyle Walker 52' goal
  • goal DeAndre Yedlin 30'
Premier League
Jan 20, 2018 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sergio Aguero 34' goal
  • Sergio Aguero 63' goal
  • Sergio Aguero 83' goal
  • goal Jacob Murphy 67'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Clark 78'

Build-up

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