Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 12

Dec 12, 2020 at 3pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
2 - 1
West Brom

Almiron (1'), Gayle (82')
Lewis (35'), Wilson (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Furlong (50')
Furlong (35'), Ajayi (69'), Ivanovic (88')

Reaction

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured on November 6, 2020

Steve Bruce pays tribute to Dwight Gayle after winning goal

Dwight Gayle headed the winner eight minutes from time.

Dec 13, 12:17

Steve Bruce "could not be more pleased" as Newcastle beat West Brom

Miguel Almiron and Dwight Gayle scored as the Magpies beat West Brom.

Dec 12, 18:19

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 47.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
25.61%	26.9%	47.49%

Both teams to score 46.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.55%

57.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.74%

78.26%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.86%

38.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.1%

74.9%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77%

24.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.42%

58.58%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 25.61%

West Bromwich Albion 47.48%

Draw 26.89%

Newcastle United	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.39% 3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.6% Total : 25.61%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 13.09% 0-2 @ 9.28% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-3 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 1.56% 1-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.45% Total : 47.48%