Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 37.92% | 26.95% | 35.12% |
| Both teams to score 51.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.78% | 54.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.37% | 75.62% |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% | 27.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% | 63.3% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% | 29.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% | 65.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.92% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.12% |