Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 8

Nov 6, 2020 at 8pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 0
Newcastle

Adams (7'), Armstrong (82')
Romeu (27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandez (43'), Longstaff (90')

Reaction

Fabian Schar in action for Newcastle on August 6, 2019

Fabian Schar slams "s***" Newcastle United performance in Southampton defeat

Newcastle United defender Fabian Schar claims that the Magpies had a "s***" game in their defeat to Southampton in Friday's Premier League clash.

Nov 7, 20:03

Theo Walcott in action for Southampton in November 2020

Ralph Hasenhuttl lauds Theo Walcott's performance in Newcastle victory

Theo Walcott's partnership with Adams could be set to continue with club's top goalscorer Ings facing a month on the sidelines.

Nov 7, 11:58

Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl pictured in September 2020

Ralph Hasenhuttl not focused on league standings as Southampton go top

The Saints are at the summit of English football for the first time since 1988.

Nov 7, 00:02

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Newcastle United
46.78%	26.04%	27.17%

Both teams to score 50.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68%

53.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13%

74.86%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22%

22.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.53%

56.47%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42%

34.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7%

71.29%

Score Analysis

Southampton 46.77%

Newcastle United 27.17%

Draw 26.04%

Southampton	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.77%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.17%