Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Leeds United |
| 22.41% | 25.56% | 52.03% |
| Both teams to score 47.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% | 55.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.64% | 76.36% |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.2% | 39.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.53% | 76.47% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% | 21.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.89% | 54.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% 2-1 @ 5.56% 2-0 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.32% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.36% Total : 22.41% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 13.09% 0-2 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-3 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-4 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.02% |