Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
| 23.61% | 25.91% | 50.48% |
| Both teams to score 47.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.64% | 55.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.43% | 76.57% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.21% | 38.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.47% | 75.53% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% | 21.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.72% | 55.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% 2-1 @ 5.79% 2-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.39% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.5% Total : 23.61% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 12.92% 0-2 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.48% |