Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Oct 18, 2020 at 2pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Zaha (19' pen.)
Mitchell (63'), Guaita (76'), McArthur (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mac Allister (90')
Ryan (18'), Bissouma (43')
Dunk (90+3')

Reaction

Brighton & Hove Albion's Alexis Mac Allister celebrates scoring his side's equaliser against Crystal Palace on October 18, 2020

Graham Potter: 'Alexis Mac Allister goal just reward for hard work'

Alexis Mac Allister made his first league appearance of the season at Selhurst Park.

Oct 19, 16:21

Jordan Ayew celebrates equalising for Palace on January 11, 2020

Crystal Palace's Jordan Ayew reveals positive coronavirus test

Palace were denied all three points at Selhurst Park after Albion substitute Alexis Mac Allister scored a 90th-minute equaliser.

Oct 18, 17:24

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
32.54%	28.42%	39.04%

Both teams to score 46.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.94%

60.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71%

80.28%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89%

34.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2%

70.79%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09%

29.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99%

66%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 32.54%

Brighton & Hove Albion 39.04%

Draw 28.4%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.54%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 12.31% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 7.43% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.5% Total : 39.04%