Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Sep 14, 2020 at 8.15pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
1 - 3
Chelsea

Trossard (54')
Lamptey (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jorginho (23' pen.), James (56'), Zouma (66')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Chelsea
25.92%	24.22%	49.86%

Both teams to score 55.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.29%

46.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.03%

68.97%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.94%

32.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.47%

68.53%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.22%

18.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.82%

50.18%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 25.92%

Chelsea 49.85%

Draw 24.22%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 6.85% 2-1 @ 6.52% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.64% Total : 25.92%	1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-2 @ 8.42% 1-3 @ 5.34% 0-3 @ 4.69% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.23% 0-4 @ 1.96% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.26% Total : 49.85%