Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Jul 4, 2020 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
3 - 0
Watford

Giroud (28'), Willian (43' pen.), Barkley (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Capoue (21'), Mariappa (49')

Reaction

Christian Pulisic pictured scoring for Chelsea on June 25, 2020

Frank Lampard tips Christian Pulisic to "get even better"

The USA international impressed again against Watford.

Jul 5, 10:55

Chelsea midfielder N'Golo Kante pictured on July 4, 2020

Chelsea waiting on N'Golo Kante injury after Watford win

The midfielder could be in doubt for the Blues' next match against Crystal Palace.

Jul 5, 00:35

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Watford
64.55%	20.24%	15.21%

Both teams to score 51.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.35%

43.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.96%

66.04%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.22%

12.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.93%

39.07%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.68%

41.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.16%

77.83%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 64.54%

Watford 15.21%

Draw 20.24%

Chelsea	Draw	Watford
2-0 @ 11.17% 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 3.94% 4-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.99% 5-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.18% Total : 64.54%	1-1 @ 9.6% 0-0 @ 5.28% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.24%	0-1 @ 4.67% 1-2 @ 4.24% 0-2 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.29% 1-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.7% Total : 15.21%