Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 36

Jul 16, 2020 at 8.15pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 1
Brighton

Ings (66')
Romeu (7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Maupay (17')

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Brighton manager Graham Potter pictured on June 30, 2020

Graham Potter refusing to celebrate survival until it is mathematically confirmed

The Seagulls are all but safe after a draw at Southampton.

Jul 17, 07:23

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
38.72%	27.33%	33.94%

Both teams to score 49.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.14%

55.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.02%

76.98%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94%

28.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.28%

63.71%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02%

30.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.71%

67.29%

Score Analysis

Southampton 38.71%

Brighton & Hove Albion 33.94%

Draw 27.33%

Southampton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.71%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.94%